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Bank regulatory standards and supervision: The impact on the of banks' efficiency
Kufnerová, Andrea ; Fišerová, Tereza (advisor) ; Havránková, Zuzana (referee)
This thesis examines the bank efficiency and the impact of the regulatory and supervisory instruments on the efficiency of banks actively performing on the financial markets in the countries of European Union. Our analysis concerns 8-year time period, covering also the period of global financial crisis with the aim to determine possible changes in the relationship regulation versus efficiency. We apply SFA Fourier-flexible model for estimation of profit and cost efficiency scores. Consequently we use GLS panel data estimation in order to test for the regulatory determinants of efficiency, we have specified 6 various models with the focus on different regulatory instruments. Results firstly suggest that high cost efficiency does not necessarily imply high bank profit efficiency. Secondly, we uncovered the negative relation between market concentration, the level of development of financial market and the cost efficiency of foreign banks. Thirdly, we also found evidence supporting the assumption of positive impact of private monitoring and the independence of supervisory authority implying the increasing of transparency in the market. Additionally, we uncovered support for negative effect of activity and diversification restrictions. However, the results concerning the financial crisis period are...
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Rating the Sovereigns: Does It Work?
Mošnová, Alžběta ; Janský, Petr (advisor) ; Lopušník, Ondřej (referee)
The sovereign rating business has developed very fast in the last two decades. The recent economic turmoil proved how important it is to set up sovereign ratings in a correct, objective, transparent way and at the right time. The goal of this thesis is to look under the surface of Rating Agencies and analyze their sovereign rating methodologies from the economic perspective. I describe the individual indicators of the sovereign rating assessment, as well as the differences in the sovereign rating methodologies of the three biggest Rating Agencies. The empirical section tries to verify the ability of sovereign ratings to predict sovereign default as well as it explores the possibility that one of the three biggest Rating Agencies would provide systematically higher or lower sovereign ratings.
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Resolving banking crises
Juhász, Michal ; Seknička, Pavel (advisor) ; Bažantová, Ilona (referee)
The Diploma Thesis deals with the banking crisis and aims to account for different approaches to the understanding of the nature of banking crisis. The Thesis further aims to provide answers why the banking crisis are caused and why so far there are no measures that would effectivelly prevent such crisis. At first, the Thesis states the definition of banking with the emphasis on banks as the institutional backbone of the current functioning of the financial system. The Thesis pays specific attention to the characteristics of two basic legal banking instruments, particulary loans and deposits. While acknowledging the loan expansion, the thesis argues the role of regulatory authorities and the limits of their competences in regards to the prevention of crisis. Followingly, the Thesis offers a view on a banking crisis phenomenon with appropriate historical overview outlining the banking crisis in Czechoslovakia in years 1918 to 1939 and after 1989, the loan expension influence on the business cycles and approaches to banking crisis solving in respect to stabilization of the banking system and restructuring of banks. At last but not least, the Thesis sums up the global financial crisis that started as a banking crisis, respectively as a crisis of one segment of the banking market in the United States...
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On the Role of the Manufacturing Industries in Economic Resilience.
Arbesleitner, Roland ; Young, Mitchell (advisor) ; Svoboda, Karel (referee) ; Figueira, Filipa (referee)
Economic resilience has recently enjoyed increased popularity in academic discourse, especially after the 2008 Global Crisis played havoc across the globe, but is as of now still in its infancy: A commonly agreed upon definition is yet to be found, and papers devoted to this concept are still rather scarce. It is commonly known that the manufacturing industries in European economies have generally been in decline for decades, and that they have primarily been replaced by the services sector. It has however been argued in the past that due to relatively high sunk costs, there is increased incentive for investors to keep manufacturing enterprises afloat during difficult times as long as possible, making them less likely to go out of business compared to others, thereby minimizing the initial blow of an economic shock to the respective economy and subsequently foster recovery. These assumptions are being examined in this paper by analysing data from the EU-28 starting at the outbreak of the 2008 crisis until 2015, followed by an investigation of individual economies in greater detail. The results show that more industrialised economies tend to have fared better during the crisis years and also managed to recover sooner.
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Post-crisis banking regulation development in the EU
Didyk, Anna ; Tomášek, Michal (advisor) ; Vondráčková, Aneta (referee)
Post-crisis banking regulation development in the EU Abstract (EN) After the Global Financial Crisis and the subsequent European sovereign debt crisis, there was a clear need for changes in the EU regulatory framework. Insufficient regulation was identified as one of the main reasons why the crisis led to such far-reaching negative consequences in the financial system. This work aims to analyse the developments in the financial regulation in the EU banking system following the aforementioned crisis. It starts by outlining the banking regulation in place before the Global Financial Crisis, follows with the description of the crisis itself and the reasons behind it, and, finally, examines in detail the changes in the regulatory framework that were implemented in the EU in order to prevent the same scenario from happening in the future. This thesis presents the most significant regulatory changes that have occurred, such as the European System of Financial Supervision, implementation of Basel III in the EU through the Capital Requirements Directive and the Capital Requirements Regulation, creation of the Banking Union and the Deposit Guarantee Schemes Directive. It further analyses the reasons for the implementation of the aforementioned changes to the regulation, and, ultimately, tries to assess whether the...
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Topics in central banking
Brož, Václav ; Kočenda, Evžen (advisor) ; Tůma, Zdeněk (referee) ; Égert, Balázs (referee) ; Martin, Reiner (referee)
This dissertation consists of three research papers dealing with selected issues relevant for central banks after the global financial crisis. The post-crisis world has seen a significant strengthening of the role of central banks with regard to the financial system as well as the real economy. Correspondingly, agendas of some central bankers have grown substantially, encompassing among others monetary policy, financial stability (macro- and microprudential policies) as well as resolution mechanisms. This dissertation thesis reflects the broad focus of some contemporary central banks in three original research articles that concern current unexplored issues for monetary policy and financial stability in the European Union, the Czech Republic, and the United States, potentially bringing policy implications for the relevant authorities. The first article analyzes inflation convergence in the whole European Union (EU) over 1999-2017 and provides comprehensive and robust evidence that the process of inflation convergence among the countries of the EU was not permanently disrupted during the global financial crisis, the European sovereign debt crisis, or the period of zero lower bound interest rates. Specifically, the convergence process did not noticeably weaken after the crisis and the occurrence of...
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Do markets believe in austerity? Did they ever believe?
Švéda, Josef ; Baxa, Jaromír (advisor) ; Hlaváček, Michal (referee)
We assess the effects of austerity announcements on investors' perception of the government's solvency across the financial cycle. To do so, we construct a unique news dataset utilizing a newswire database which consists of governmental and parliamentary approvals of austerity measures for 11 European countries. We also follow more regular statements of governmental representatives towards austerity measures. The effects are studied on 10-year sovereign bond yield spreads vis-à-vis Germany during the period 01:2000-12:2019. Implementing pooled OLS regressions, we find significant decreasing effects in the pre-crisis period especially for the GIIPSH group (Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, Spain, and Hungary) and decreasing although not significant effects in the post-crisis period. The crisis period manifests itself with increased surprise effects of announcements. The markets adopted announcements of the GIIPSH group as signals of deteriorating solvency which led to further increases of yield spreads. On the other hand, prudent countries (Czechia, France, Netherlands, Poland, and Slovakia) enjoyed a low sensitivity to their announcements across the cycle. Finally, we find that markets react rather on final announcements of austerity measures than to comments expressed by national representatives....
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Credit Derivatives Market during Recent Financial Crisis
Buzková, Petra ; Teplý, Petr (advisor) ; Tripe, David (referee) ; Witzany, Jiří (referee) ; Dědek, Oldřich (referee)
The dissertation is composed of three empirical research papers analyzing the development on credit derivatives markets in recent years characterized by the global financial crisis in 2007- 2009 and subsequent European sovereign debt crisis. The basic motivation of the thesis is to contribute to the clarification of the turbulent development on credit derivatives markets. The first paper addresses main flaws of a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) market during the global financial crisis. The second paper examines the impact of the Greek debt crisis on sovereign credit default swap (CDS) reliability. The third paper analyzes whether a resulting change in CDS terms restored confidence in CDS contracts. An introductory chapter presents a common framework for the three papers. In the first paper, we examine valuation of a Collateralized Debt Obligation (CDO) in 2007- 2009. One Factor Gaussian Copula Model is presented and five hypotheses regarding CDO sensitivity to entry parameters are analyzed. Four main deficiencies of the CDO market are then articulated: i) an insufficient analysis of underlying assets by both investors and rating agencies; ii) investment decisions arising from the valuation model based on expected cash-flows and neglecting other factors such as mark-to-market losses; iii)...
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Conventional vs. Shariah stock indices: Volatility, Financial Contagion, Interest Rate Risk and Gold as Safe Haven
Hashmi, Osaid ; Kočenda, Evžen (advisor) ; Baxa, Jaromír (referee)
The thesis aims at the comparison of volatility between conventional stock indices and their Shariah counterparts. We study the time-varying volatility and correlation of both categories using GARCH models, during Global Financial Crisis and afterwards, from January 2008 to March 2017. We analyze the Global stock indices drilling down into their Developed and Emerging market segments, and study the U.S. market; considering U.S. as the origin of the crisis. Extending traditional approach, we study difference of time-varying volatility between conventional and Shariah indices, and thoroughly study its dynamic development during the study period. Employing DCC-GARCH, we investigate the financial contagion within markets and find Shariah indices to be significantly affected by it. We find Shariah stocks to be less risky and a diversification opportunity during crisis, but based on market; unlike other markets, Shariah stocks are more volatile in Emerging markets. We also examine correlations of stock indices with interest rates and analyze the role of gold as a safe-haven for Shariah investors. We observe Shariah indices to be having correlation with interest rates similar to that of conventional indices, hence exposed to interest rate risk. Finally, we find that gold is less correlated to Shariah...
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Global financial crisis from the point of view of economic theories
Zukalová, Kristýna ; Bolotov, Ilya (advisor) ; Jurek, Martin (referee)
Since 2008 the business world, politics, economy and public has been affected by the financial crisis. A financial crisis is generally defined as a broad range of disturbances that affect real economy (negative impacts on employment, production, purchasing power, insolvency and many others). The aim of the thesis is an analysis of approaches to explanation of the global financial crisis in terms of selected economic theories. The hypothesis (there is a state of knowledge that the global crisis could be predicted) is confirmed in this thesis. At the same time, proposals for predicting financial crises are elaborated. For the comparison a multi-criteria decision method is used. As the input criteria the individual causes of the financial crises that are defined in the first part of the thesis are chosen. The criteria are used to evaluate selected variants; the variants represent the real causes of the global financial crisis of 2008.
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